Monday, February 22, 2010

Counters Testing New High.

As economic reports are pointing for a recovery, coupled with the Chinese New Year rally tradition, many stocks has broken their resistance, marking new highs. This week, we shall take a look at some counters which are testing their resistance.

Maybulk:

Chart 1: Maybulk, chart from 22/07/2009 to 20/01/2010.

Price of Maybulk rebounded on the 18/01/2010, forming a Higher-low, in which the L1 uptrend line is formed. As indicated by A, price of Maybulk tested the RM3.26 resistance, which is a long term resistance since 5/08/2009.

Meanwhile, as indicated by B, volume for Maybulk increased significantly, suggesting some inflow of fresh buying interests, which helped to push the price higher. Therefore, if volume should remain strong, the uptrend for Maybulk is expected to carry on, and retest the RM3.26 resistance level, or even an attempt to test the RM 3.42 peak.

Meanwhile, the 14, 21, 31 EMA is still serving as the dynamic support for the uptrend, as well as the trailing stop reference. Technically, if price of Maybulk should remain supported by the 14, 21, 31 EMA, it is a good idea to hold on to the positions, until a break down below the 14, 21, 31 EMA, it would be a signal to take profit or to cut loss.

Nevertheless, despite the strong fundamental of Maybulk, trading for this counter remains illiquid; in other words, this counter is not suitable for short term trading.

4 Q Rolling PER

20.11 times

Dividend Yield

12.54%

Dividend

Dividend Yield

Net Profit Ratio

31/12/2008

40 sen

16.74%

63.91%

31/12/2007

38 sen

8.52%

89.55%

31/12/2006

30 sen

11.72%

70.73%

31/12/2005

17 sen

8.10%

162.89%

31/12/2004

12 sen

4.65%

71.69%

Table 1: Maybulk, yearly Dividend, Dividend Yield, and Net Profit Ratio.

Genm:

Chart 2: Genm, chart from 09/07/2009 to 20/01/2010.

As indicated by A, price of Genm retreated since resisted by the RM 2.93 level on the 5thof January, 2010. However, it was precisely supported by the 14, 21, 31 EMA, and retested the RM 2.93 resist again on the 20/01/2010.

The rebound above the 14, 21, 31 EMA suggests that the immediate uptrend is still intact, and if price should break above the RM2.93 resistance successfully, it would break away from its long Rectangular trading range, and the next resistance would be at RM 3.05 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.

Other than the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support, the L1 line is also the uptrend line supporting the immediate uptrend, as well as serving as the trailing stop reference. Provided that price of Genm is still above the L1 line, it is still a good idea to hold positions. If price should break below the L1 line or the 14, 21, 31 EMA, it would be a signal to take profit or to cut loss.

4 Q Rolling PER

28.50 times

Dividend Yield

2.42%

Dividend

Dividend Yield

Net Profit Ratio

31/12/2008

7 sen

3.10%

12.98%

31/12/2007

6.48 sen

1.67%

35.74%

31/12/2006

27 sen

1.85%

24.84%

31/12/2005

24 sen

2.14%

26.80%

31/12/2004

20 sen

2.00%

26.54%

Table 2: Genm, yearly Dividend, Dividend Yield, and Net Profit Ratio.

Properties:

TAGB.

Chart 3: TAGB, chart from 23/11/2009 to 20/01/2010.

As indicated by A, price of TAGB broke above the RM0.51 resistance level on the 18th of January, 2010, marking a new high. As indicated by B, volume also increased significantly as price broke above the resistance. This suggests that the buying interests was strong as it was sufficient to off set the selling pressure.

However, as profit taking took place, price of TAGB retreated, and failed to maintain above the RM 0.51 level, but still supported by the 14, 21, 31 EMA, which is serving as the dynamic support. Therefore, the uptrend remains intact. Meanwhile, as price retreated, volume shrunk substantially, suggesting that the selling pressure was still relatively lower. Generally, should price retreat with low volume, it is a sign of a healthy correction, provided that the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support is still in place.

Since TAGB is relatively new, the only resistance right now is at RM 0.53 level. If price should rebound from the 14, 21, 31 EMA, and break above the RM0.53, it would be a new high. But still, investors should have a sound trading plan in trading new counter, and hold on to the positions when price is still supported by the dynamic support, and if price should break below the dynamic support, it would be a signal to take profit or to cut loss.

Conclusion:
Whenever price breaks above the a resistance, investors should be prepared and take charge of the opportunity, while prepare for a logical trading plan. If the broad market condition is favorable, and the risk management is well handled, the probabilities of a positive return is attainable with controlled risk.







Copyright © 2009 Straits Index (M) Sdn BhdImportant Disclaimer:These content provided by Straits Index (M) Sdn Bhd is solely for education and information purposes only, and do not suggest any investment advices. All information displayed are believed to be accurate and reliable. Interpretation of the data or analysis is at the reader's own risk. Straits Index (M) Sdn Bhd reserves the rights but obligations to update, admen, or even terminate the materials. 重要声明:以上的内容由海峡指数(马)私人有限公司提供,纯粹是教育性质, 并不是任何的投资忠告。所有资料显示认为是准确和可靠的。对数据或分析的解释和用途是在于用户自己的风险。海峡指数(马)有限公司持有保留及义务更新,甚 至终止材料的权利。

Take chance, but honor your trading plan.Last week, we mentioned some steel counters, and let us follow up one steel counter this week, together with

Last week, we mentioned some steel counters, and let us follow up one steel counter this week, together with a counter from the Properties and Finance sector.

Steel: Lionind.

Chart 1: Lionind, from 30/07/2009 to 20/01/2010.

As shown on chart 1, price of Lionind retreated after resisted by the RM1.71 level, but it managed to rebound precisely from the 14, 21, 31 EMA, which is still serving as the dynamic support. After rebounding from the dynamic support, price of Lionind re-tested the RM 1.71 level.

As indicated by A, on the 20/01/2010, price of Lionind rose sharply, with its intra-day high reaching all the way up to RM 1.84, marking a 17 months new high. However, profit taking soon took place, and pulled the price back to RM 1.71.

As a result, it formed a long upper shadow candlestick, with huge volume, as circled at B, which suggests that the selling pressure was strong, and the RM 1.71 resistance remains intact.

If price of Lionind should remain resisted by the RM1.71 level, the uptrend for Lionind is less likely to sustain, but still, it has not formed a downtrend yet for it is still supported by the 14, 21, 31 EMA. If price should break below the 14, 21, 31 EMA, it would suggest an end to this rally, thus a signal to take profit or to cut loss.

Leading PER

4.22 times

Dividend Yield

0.61%

Dividend

Dividend Yield

Net Profit Ratio

30/06/2009

1 sen

0.8%

-6.06%

30/06/2008

1 sen

0.38%

12.43%

30/06/2007

1 sen

0.57%

4.36

30/06/2006

0.5 sen

0.52%

-0.29%

30/06/2005

1 sen

0.81%

8.26%

Table 1: Lionind, yearly Dividend, Dividend yield, and Net Profit Ratio.

Properties: IJMLand

Chart 2: IJMLand, from 24/09/2009 to 19/01/2010.

As indicated by A, price of IJMLand rebounded from the RM2.17 support level on the 29/12/2009, and tested the RM 2.40 level. Despite closing marginally above the RM 2.40 resistance level, volume did not increased substantially, as indicated by B, thus giving no confirmation to the break out signal.

Nevertheless, price of IJMLand remains above the 14, 21, 31 EMA, and the immediate outlook remains positive bias. But still, the lack of volume remains a major set back.

Technically speaking, if volume should increase with price of IJMLand remain above the 14, 21, 31 EMA, it would be a good signal as chances of price to start rising is high, and it could test the next resistance at RM 2.68 too. However, if price should break below the 14, 21, 31 EMA, it would be an end to the upside biased movement, it would be a signal to take profit or to cut loss. And the next support is at RM 2.17 level.

4 Q Rolling PER

25.97 times

Dividend Yield

0.00%

Dividend

Dividend Yield

Net Profit Ratio

31/03/2009

0 sen

0%

7.62%

31/03/2008

0 sen

0%

14.13%

31/03/2007

0 sen

0%

-2.76%

31/03/2006

0 sen

0%

9.07%

31/03/2005

0 sen

0%

9.56%

Table 2: IJMLand, yearly Dividend, Dividend Yield, and Net Profit Ratio.

Finance: CIMB

Chart 3: CIMB, from 25/09/2009 to 20/01/2010.

As shown on chart 3, price of CIMB broke above the RM 13.30 resistance level on the 8th of January, 2010, touching its new high of RM 13.58 level, and followed by a consolidation. Despite the consolidation, price of CIMB remains supported by the RM 13.30 level. As indicated by A, the 14, 21, 31 EMA is still rising while still supporting the uptrend as well as serving as the trailing stop reference.

Technically speaking, the uptrend for CIMB remains intact and it is only a consolidation of an uptrend. Nevertheless, if price should remain supported by the rising 14, 21, 31 EMA, the uptrend is expected to carry on, and investors could hold on to their positions, until price should break below the 14, 21, 31 EMA, it would be a signal to take profit or to cut loss.

4 Q Rolling PER

20.36 times

Dividend Yield

1.87%

Dividend

Dividend Yield

Net Profit Ratio

31/03/2009

25 sen

4.27%

25.22%

31/03/2008

25 sen

2.27%

31.00%

31/03/2007

15 sen

1.94%

23.53%

31/03/2006

15 sen

2.63%

17.51%

31/03/2005

15 sen

3.19%

18.01%

Table 3: CIMB, yearly Dividend, Dividend Yield, Net Profit Ratio.

Conclusion:
The overall uptrend for the KLCI remains intact, despite the negative performance across the regional markets. Still, there is always risk in trading, and investors should always equipped with a sound trading plan before taking up any positions, and cut loss if the uptrend should be violated.






Copyright © 2009 Straits Index (M) Sdn BhdImportant Disclaimer:These content provided by Straits Index (M) Sdn Bhd is solely for education and information purposes only, and do not suggest any investment advices. All information displayed are believed to be accurate and reliable. Interpretation of the data or analysis is at the reader's own risk. Straits Index (M) Sdn Bhd reserves the rights but obligations to update, admen, or even terminate the materials. 重要声明:以上的内容由海峡指数(马)私人有限公司提供,纯粹是教育性质, 并不是任何的投资忠告。所有资料显示认为是准确和可靠的。对数据或分析的解释和用途是在于用户自己的风险。海峡指数(马)有限公司持有保留及义务更新,甚 至终止材料的权利。